• Project Flux
  • Posts
  • Musk-Trump Rift Triggers £120 Billion AI Market Earthquake

Musk-Trump Rift Triggers £120 Billion AI Market Earthquake

Political fallout reshapes innovation funding whilst Apple exposes reasoning limits and job market data surprises

Proudly sponsored by ConstructAI, brought to you by Weston Analytics.

Morning Project AI enthusiasts,

This week has been a masterclass in how quickly the AI world can pivot. From political fallouts reshaping funding priorities to Apple's sobering research on reasoning limits, we're witnessing the growing pains of an industry still finding its footing.

Yet beneath the turbulence, there's something more hopeful emerging: a clearer picture of what AI fluency actually means, and why human creativity remains irreplaceable.

In this edition, we explore the Musk-Trump rift's ripple effects, dive into Apple's latest reasoning research, examine the surprising job market data, and discover what true AI literacy looks like in 2025 and highlight new tools that are changing how we work.

In This Edition

  • The Musk-Trump Rift: When Politics Reshapes Innovation 

  • Apple's Reality Check: The Illusion of AI Reasoning 

  • The AI Jobs Paradox: Why Doomsday and Prosperity Predictions Are Both Right 

  • Defining AI Fluency: What It Really Means to Be Literate in 2025 

  • Why We Buy the Story, Not the Art: Human Creativity in the AI Age

Flux check-in

The fragile alliance between two of America's most influential figures has cracked, and the reverberations are reshaping AI's political landscape. When Trump threatened to cancel federal contracts with Musk's companies, Tesla lost over £120 billion in a single day—its largest ever session drop. Read the full breakdown →

What Does This Mean for Me?
Political volatility directly impacts AI funding and adoption incentives. When public money shifts from smart infrastructure to legacy sectors, the business case for intelligent systems weakens—not because they don't deliver, but because the ecosystem no longer rewards them.

Key Themes: 

• Innovation built on individual influence creates systemic risk
• Political moments redirect technological progress
• AI adoption follows where incentives lead
• Competing ecosystems may emerge from this divide

Down the Rabbit Hole:
ChatGPT conversation on the fallout

Apple's latest research paper takes aim at a fundamental question: do large reasoning models actually reason, or are we projecting logic onto sophisticated pattern-matching? Their controlled study of logic puzzles reveals something striking—as problems grow complex, models don't just perform worse, they often stop trying altogether. Read the full breakdown →

What Does This Mean for Me?
Understanding AI's reasoning boundaries helps set realistic expectations for project delivery. These models excel at surface-level planning but struggle with deep, recursive thinking—knowledge that's crucial for scoping AI implementations effectively.

Key Themes: 
• Models exhibit "learned frugality" when sensing complexity limits
• Reasoning exists but remains shallow and heuristic-driven
• Spatial simulation challenges expose text-based limitations
• Strategic retreat may indicate computational maturity

Down the Rabbit Hole:
Apple's original research paper

Together with Cogram

Power your construction bids with AI

Cogram’s AI-assisted RFP bidding tool writes tailored RFP proposals in minutes instead of weeks.

  • Automatically extract key details from the RFP — including scope, submission requirements, deadlines, and evaluation criteria — to easily make a go/no-go decision.

  • Cogram’s AI will then reference your firm’s knowledge base and past proposals to draft tailored proposals within minutes.

  • Use AI-assisted editing tools to review, cross-check data, and make improvements remarkably fast. 

A PwC study analysing nearly a billion job adverts reveals a surprising truth: AI isn't just displacing workers—it's making some more valuable. Those with AI skills like prompt engineering command a 56% wage premium, while employer demand for formal degrees declines faster in AI-exposed roles. Read the full breakdown →

What Does This Mean for Me?
The job market is bifurcating. AI augments rather than replaces many roles, but success requires active skill development. Practical AI capabilities are becoming more valuable than traditional qualifications in many sectors.

Key Themes: 
• AI creates wage premiums for skilled practitioners
• Job growth accompanies AI adoption in many sectors
• Practical capabilities trump formal qualifications
• Role upgrading occurs more than wholesale replacement

Zapier's recent decision to require AI fluency for all new hires signals a workplace transformation. But what does "AI-fluent" actually mean? This comprehensive framework breaks down 14 core competencies, from hands-on tool mastery to ethical judgement and collaborative augmentation. Read the full breakdown →

What Does This Mean for Me?
AI fluency isn't just about using tools—it's about thinking with machines. This framework provides a roadmap for developing the skills that will define professional competence in an AI-first world.

Key Themes: 
• AI fluency encompasses technical, ethical, and collaborative skills
• Continuous learning habits matter more than static knowledge
• Domain application requires tailored approaches
• Cultural fit involves treating AI as the default work interface

Down the Rabbit Hole: 

As AI-generated art floods the market, a fundamental truth emerges: we don't buy art for its technical execution—we buy it for the human story behind it. This shift reveals why human creativity remains irreplaceable, even as machines master technique. Read the full breakdown →

What Does This Mean for Me?
In a world where AI can replicate technical skills, the value lies in human narrative, context, and meaning. This principle extends beyond art to any creative or strategic work—the story behind the solution matters as much as the solution itself.

Key Themes:
• Human narrative creates irreplaceable value
• Technical execution becomes commoditised
• Authenticity and context drive purchasing decisions
• Creative work requires human meaning-making

The pulse check

Tips of the week

Microsoft released a comprehensive, free course covering agent design, tool use, planning, and multi-agent systems. The hour-long programme defines AI agents as intelligent systems with a brain (LLM), memory, and tools—essential knowledge as agentic AI becomes mainstream.knowledge repository to prevent duplicate efforts across teams and ensure consistent implementation approaches.

Governance & Security

Meanwhile, the UK government published guidance on human-centred AI scaling and risk management, emphasising responsible deployment practices. These moves signal a maturing approach to AI governance, balancing innovation with security considerations.

  • AI Productivity Powerhouses
    ChatGPT's o3 model now tackles tax preparation, legal questions, and document conversion, while new "Record mode" captures meeting notes. Perplexity Labs offers Pro users comprehensive research reports and dashboards. OpenAI's latest business integrations

  • Voice Generation Revolution
    Bland's new TTS model clones voices from short snippets, ElevenLabs launched Eleven v3 with 70+ language support, and Hume's EVI 3 creates emotionally aware voices. The line between AI and human speech continues to blur.

  • Visual Truth Crisis
    Flux1 Kontext, Mirage Studio, and HeyGen AI Studio make image and video editing so precise that trusting online visuals now depends entirely on source credibility. We're entering the "end of truth" era for visual content.

  • Platform Updates

Other things we’re loving

Community

The Spotlight Podcast

The Real Power of Microsoft's AI
A deep dive into Microsoft's AI strategy reveals how the tech giant is positioning itself for the next wave of enterprise adoption. Listen here for insights on hybrid architectures and competitive positioning.

Simon Sinek: You're Being Lied To About AI's Real Purpose
Simon Sinek challenges conventional AI narratives, arguing we're teaching our children not to be human. A provocative discussion on AI's true purpose and its impact on human development.

Events

The PDA Task Force and Gleeds are supporting EY's upcoming AI in Infrastructure event presents a practical implementation framework for government departments and industry partners.

Attendees will gain access to real-world roadmaps for translating theoretical AI benefits into tangible project delivery outcomes, with specific focus on overcoming data quality challenges that often derail digital transformation initiatives. Register now

One more thing

That’s it for today!

Before you go we’d love to know what you thought of today's newsletter to help us improve The Project Flux experience for you.

Login or Subscribe to participate in polls.

See you soon,

James, Yoshi and Aaron—Project Flux